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Motilal Oswal raises target price for Hindalco, sees upside potential of 15%

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July 11, 2024
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Motilal Oswal raises target price for Hindalco, sees upside potential of 15%
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With Novelis witnessing further margin gains and capacity expansion set to drive the next leg of growth for Hindalco, domestic brokerage firm Motilal Oswal raised the stock’s target price to Rs 800 while reiterating their buy view on the stock.

Hindalco is undertaking a capex of USD 6.9 billion (USD 4.9 billion for Novelis and USD 2 billion for Hindalco) to expand capacities for several products across multiple locations over the next three to five years.

This capex will help the company shift its focus from being a core metal manufacturer to a metal-solution provider. The management aims to upscale the share of low-carbon sources to 30% for aluminum production by 2030.

“In India, we believe HNDL is adding downstream capacities at the right time to capture growth opportunities in the domestic market,” said Motilal Oswal in its report.

Also read: Shipping stocks skyrocket 20%, Shipping Corporation, Eastern Shipping leadThe ongoing capex at Novelis may position Hindalco as the global leader in beverage cans and automotive FRP segments and any further extension in the capex timeline, along with an increase in capex outlay, will put pressure on the cash flow of the company.Novelis is also undertaking multiple debottlenecking projects across geographies, which will yield high returns through either additional capacity or cost reduction initiatives.“Novelis has a current rolling capacity of 4.2MT, which will increase to 4.5MT after the completion of all the debottlenecking projects, and to over 5.1MT after the completion of the Bay Minette facility,” added Motilal Oswal report.

The expansion plan has been delayed by a year and the facility is now likely to be commissioned in 2HCY26, and would take 18-24 months to fully ramp up. Therefore, the domestic brokerage firm believes that any significant incremental volumes will start only in FY 27-28.

(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times)

Tags: capexdomestic brokerage firmfrp segmentsHindalcohindalco priceMotilalmotilal oswalnovelisOswalpotentialpriceraisesseestargetupside
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